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Note: “YORASHIMUBESHI” means that you have to conform the people, but “SHIRASHIMUBEKARAZU” means that you have no need to inform.
It have been said that’s the royal road of this nation’s politics since a long ago.
Also this year, a hot summer has come. I remember that weather forecasters said this summer would become cooler than usual on early spring, but they seem to lose this bet. Moreover, because of the issue that you brought to us, it may become more hot.
Recently, you look so bold that we have never seen. Whenever watching you, I feel that we are standing in front of an entrance of the era which is colored by blood and darkness just like those days.
Surely, this world has been reconstructed during this decade. The Stars and Stripes has faded while the Five-Stars Red Flag is more shining. In addition to Asia and Africa, a part of South America and Europe has been encroached by money that isn’t yen, euro, pound or dollar.
Not a few people seem to think that the relativization of the hegemony of U.S. has occurred simply by changes of the military power balance. Certainly, the recent territorial disputes look like such matters, but these are just one aspect of things.
In spite of that, I’m worrying that such an atmosphere seems to have become dominant day by day.
Moreover, the right-wing people seem to be claiming that those who have opposite opinions against the diplomacy of the present administration are the so-called “peace idiot”. Yet, if watching from another perspective, those who are criticizing such things may really be very the peace idiot, I think.
In the first place, not to repeat the unfortunate history, people have looked for wisdom about non-military methods for solving international disputes for this seven decades. In spite of that, perhaps because of this relatively “peace” age, those who regard such an effort as just “idiot” may have forgotten how many people were forced to accept unexpected and unreasonable circumstances at those days.
In my opinion, they look like nothing but either simple thoughts of “muscle freaks” or sophistry of “those who are with vested rights”. However, the “hybrid” power base including such both segments are going to bring political success to you.
To tell the truth, I had doubted your ability of political marketing till half a year prior, but now, I cannot deny that such evaluation was wrong.
You have made the people believe that it is like “virtue” to make money more than to expend with using the words such as “processing trade” or “export-driven country”. Meanwhile, you have supported U.S. with buying treasury bonds by “our” current account surplus due to imbalance between more earning and less expending. Through such a way, you have compensated U.S. external deficits, for contributing its fiscal funding including military industry as “the most huge public investment”.
On the other hand, by your promotional strategy, they seem to believe that the Japan-U.S. security treaty is something like an one-sided treaty which is imposing a duty of defense only to U.S. If taking into above structure, it is mutually beneficial for each other, but your propaganda has been so good that almost people have never noticed that.
However, China has gained economic power, and such conventional structure has been collapsing. While its investment-driven growth represented by “the double (means both of current account and capital account) surplus” progresses, finally, that nation has become the biggest foreign holder of U.S. treasury bonds on behalf of us.
Although you should be smart to see that, if organizing various facts along with a course of time, you can understand that today’s relativization of U.S. hegemony has been caused by the multipolarity of money flow rather than the changes of military balance. Nevertheless, the Obama Administration which often takes reconciliation stance on the foreign policy had not been enough responsive to such undercurrent at first.
As a result of that, they overlooked expansion of U.S. treasury bonds held by China. Not only that, yuan has encroached South America that has been “a backyard” of U.S. with the BRICs Development Bank Plan, and also spread over deficits nations of Europe through “relief” from the Euro Crisis.
For the key currency country, foreign currency reserves of other countries are something like “a double-edged sword”. The key currency country can expend more than earning by them, but their creditor can sometimes use the power of life and death of such system.
The series of the financial crisis confronted such a reality to U.S. In fact, every action of China has become prime concern of parties involved with the market, and a few months ago, U.S. was threatened by Russia with sale of treasury bonds.
That’s why they are eagerly going to rebalance external imbalance by “the National Export Initiative” (which is generally called “the Export-Doubling Plan” in Japan) and modify the domestic investment surplus tendency by sharing costs of the hegemony with allied nations.
In short, they don’t have the will to become “the Market of the World” again as before, maybe. Even if being the key currency country, they may no more provide their excess demand for the growth of the world from this time.
Therefore, your recent works are something reliable for U.S., especially its conservative people. For strengthening stability of the U.S. hegemony, you can retract the history of “peace diplomacy”, and also, you wouldn’t hesitate to sacrifice peace and safety of the people of a part of this nation.
Of course, there will occur some objections, but that will not be a matter as far as you will be supported by the Establishment of U.S… There is something like that in your mind, isn’t there ?
Perhaps, it will be a more troublesome matter for you that the conventional regime and system will be overturned. If such things happen, various and broad changes will occur in this international society. Then, in addition to U.S., you will also lose interests and privileges which you have taken a lot of time to gain. This world will never return to your “comfortable” world as today.
It is kind of the vested right, so you must hide it from the lower classes. Perhaps, that’s why you said bravely that you were going to cut into the vested rights. For protecting something really to be protected, you might abandon something easy to abandon… I cannot help without feeling sort of admiration for your craftiness of this game.
Nevertheless, some people will see through such your purpose, but you will say it should be silly talk.
Certainly, it may become difficult to keep the asymmetry of information because of development of ICT or focusing on the accountability to general public. However, in this nation, even if it includes some lies or intentions, an announcement from the authority will be likely to be more accepted than the truth claimed by a person of doubtful origin.
“You have to conform the people, but you have no need to inform”… That’s “the royal road” of this nation’s politics, and today is as same as old days.
You will have no way except to bear a more burden to support the regime, if you want to keep to live in “the comfortable world” under the U.S. hegemony. Fortunately, those who are thinking that the idealistic peace diplomacy is no more valid are increasing due to getting worse of today’s international relationship.
Even if it’s necessary evil, you may be satisfied that the general public become to require “a gunboat diplomacy”. That’s because you will be able to contribute U.S. and its military industry by sharing a burden for hegemony and providing new markets, as its result.
The approval of exercising the right to collective self defense seems to symbolize such an intention. That means more contribution for the stabilizing the hegemony. It will reduce a burden of U.S. and also will help to solve a long-standing issues about its macroeconomic structure.
Even the liberal people cannot deny that in spite of their own mind. Recently, the far east situation has become instability such as rise of China, getting closer with South Korea, getting worse of territorial disputes, and accelerating of provocative acts of North Korea. In such circumstances, nobody can deny the offer of sharing more miriltary role from an allied nation.
Moreover, the diversion to military use of the not-military airport which you said recently will accelerate such an atmosphere. I cannot help without admiring you to cast the man who is often obedient to national policy like a conventional government-appointed governor though he claims he is belong to the faction of the decentralization.
If this intrigue successes, you will pave the way to the new contribution to U.S. and its army. In the near future, you may want to divert every private resources to military use.
In addition to that, if you do it in the range of the present law about improvement of surrounding environment of defense facilities, you may be said “good at shopping”. As you know, the present law was made in triggered by the urbanization of surrounding areas of defense facilities which had “already existed”, in the background of the high-growth era. In contrast, this time’s issue is the case of advance of the defense facility which has “not existed” and “never been supposed”.
Therefore, it’s not uneven to evaluate more loss and risks of lives, health or property of surrounding people than usual cases, but perhaps, you are going to do it within the range of the present law.
That’s because it will become “the convenient example” for your future plan, isn’t it ?
Otherwise, you seem to have claimed that it will be useful to transport emergency patients since this issue happened. It may be one of factors for persuasion.
However, when I was involved in the medical administration, the Self-Defense Forces had not been proactive except patients of isolated islands to such tasks. Therefore, we had made a lot of efforts for joint service of the Doctor Heli of the Kurume Univ those days.
In light of such experience, the effectiveness of their offer is doubtful, I guess. I can’t do anything without despising those who don’t hesitate about such a political use of the Forces just like a politics-monger.
Perhaps, that may be why you chose “him”, I guess. Come to think of it, he has ever done so.
Maybe thinking of various public opinions, he has shown cautious behavior before the elections, but after that, he has often whistled a different tune. For example, in the cases such as the introduction of plutonium-thermal power generation, the restart of the nuclear power station, and so on.
Looking back now, I remember that those close to him used to say “He always says that he must “win” now and never just before every public meeting about the restart”. Those days, it may be possible that such his vigor maybe biased by his own political intention and privilege led to various problems including “the staged email” or “the human barricade”.
Anyway, he will have to “endure” longer than the prior cases in this time… Will he really be able to do that ?
Of course, there is a thought that we had better choose to become the side of making new rules if we cannot avoid to be affected by changes of this world. To say honestly, I cannot understand your stickiness to the subordination to U.S. so much, even under the relativization of its hegemony.
Rather, you should seek for more equal relationship with U.S. and that can be done also by non-military methods.
For example, you will be able to see how much bargaining power the so-called “currency diplomacy” has under today’s multipolarity of money flow such as acts of China. It is the very main factor of today’s relativization of the hegemony of U.S., as mentioned above. (Meanwhile, it seems that a part of you seriously think that nuclear capability is the proof of being first-class power… but I have no way to express such an idea is the very “muscle freaks”, especially in today’s world where military powers, forms and methods have become to diversify more and more.)
However, currency diplomacy is not China’s speciality. We also have enough net external assets as same as China. In reality, in the case of the territorial dispute between China and South Korea about a year ago, you conducted yourself craftily with using currency swap and treasury bonds sales.
Even about issues with U.S., although being left by China, we are holding treasury bonds as same as it. Thinking of this point, it should not be impossible for us to take a casting vote while having two strings to our bow between U.S. and China.
Sometimes, you are also resisting such a temptation, aren’t you ?
If that can be used as material for the negotiation, for example, you may be able to propose the destruction of the Status of Forces Agreement though it’s a high requirement. About reducing a burden on Okinawa which you have claimed its necessity recently, if you cannot step into issues about this agreement that is kind of remains of the occupied governance era, whatever you will claim, it may be regarded as something like deception.
Such a thing is already seen through by the voters, maybe. If you think that’s a lie, that will appeal to your heart intensely at this autumn election. Today’s people are not foolish, ignorant or obedient as you think, because it’s a fact that the monopoly of information which is your source of the authority has collapsed gradually.
Nevertheless, such an action will enrage U.S. In this context, I could not understand your recent behavior against North Korea at first, but it’s understandable if regarding your action as an insinuation against the present administration of U.S. which seems to be likely to accept the rapprochement between China and South Korea even negatively. In other words, if thinking so, we can guess what kind of powers is “your lord”.
If you want to continue to enjoy prosperity and privilege under their hegemony, you will have to act as an obedient vassal nation. You must keep to be a stable creditor for the deficits key currency nation, and also, you must meekly accept a burden required for the stability of the hegemony of your lord. They are not whole of U.S. or its present administration but its conservative faction, maybe.
Your real intention may be something like that, I guess.
Whatever politics and diplomacy does, this globalized world becomes more and more inter-dependent. It is very complex, so a kind of authority has already become relative thing. That’s why your lord has also suffered serious damages, for example, by the Subprime Loan Problem.
The royal road of the global strategy under such a world is basically not to take some specific side excessively. Only those who have made equal relationship between more various powers will be able to take initiative in this multipolarized world.
Your lord is facing the relativization of their own hegemony, so they are applying material and immaterial pressure upon you, maybe. That looks like an “OSPREY” which is starving with fishes and pouncing on birds indiscriminately.
Rather than sinking by riding such a boat made by mud, it’s instead of that you have to choose alternative to make a rule for the new era and world.
If you cannot do that, I would like you to retire from steering of this nation. How about it ?
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